Dead Heat: Recent Polling Shows Walker and Burke Tied With Less Than 3 Weeks To Go
According to the Marquette University poll released on Wednesday, Governor Scott Walker and challenger Mary Burke are tied (47%-47%) among likely voters with less than 3 weeks to go before the election. Two weeks ago, the Marquette poll showed Walker with 50%-45% lead over Burke. Among registered voters Walker leads 48%-45%.
The pollster, Professor Charles Franklin, said Burke’s gains can be attributed to independent voters. Among independents, 80% said they are certain to vote, up from 67% two weeks ago. Among those likely to vote Burke received 45% to Walker’s 44%. Two weeks ago Walker had a 13 point lead among independents.
While the change among independent voters is noteworthy, the voter breakdown by gender is even more surprising. Despite the onslaught of advertising against Walker using a “war on women” theme, the gender gap that was prevalent in the last poll between Walker and Burke has all but disappeared in this survey. Two weeks ago, Walker had a 28-point advantage among men, while Burke had a 14-point edge among women. In this poll, men favored Walker 48%-46%, while women backed Burke 48%-47%
Other highlights from the poll include:
- In the attorney general’s race, among likely voters, Republican Brad Schimel and Democrat Susan Happ are tied at 42%, among likely voters, with sixteen percent of voters saying they’re still undecided. Two weeks ago, Schimel had a 41% – 39% lead.
- Regionally, Walker leads in the Milwaukee media market (outside the city) 53%-40%, while Burke leads in the City of Milwaukee 76%-21%. In the Madison media market, Burke leads 59%-32%, while Walker leads 58%-39% in the Green Bay media market.
- Walker is viewed favorably by 50% of likely voters and unfavorably by 48%, while Burke’s favorable/unfavorable rating is tied at 44%. Eleven percent say they haven’t heard enough about her.
- Among likely voters, 53% believe the state is headed in the right direction while 43% say the state is on the wrong track. Also, 50% say the state is lagging behind others in job creation, 37% say the state is keeping on pace and 10% say the state is adding jobs faster than others.
DNR Considers New Guidance to Address Newly Discovered Wetlands on Existing Development Sites
Development is being halted in some areas of Wisconsin due to the discovery of new wetlands on existing sites. Most of these sites were previously platted and, in some cases, improved with public sewer, water and roads. However, when the economic downturn occurred several years ago, the construction activity on these sites stopped. When construction activity was ready to resume, the previously delineated wetland areas had expanded or new wetlands were discovered on the site. Because wetland delineations are generally valid for only five years, new wetland permits need to be obtained from the U.S. Army Corps. of Engineers (USACE) and/or the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources (DNR), depending upon who has jurisdiction.
To address this issue, NAIOP-WI, along with representatives from the League of Wisconsin Municipalities, has been meeting with the DNR to develop a solution to expedite any further wetland permitting requirements. The solution will likely come in the form of a DNR guidance providing limited review of sites that have already received a wetland delineation and where significant investments (public improvements, roads, site preparation, and/or sales of platted lots) have been made in reliance on these delineations.
To date, the DNR has been receptive to both the concerns raised about impact of the new wetland delineations on existing economic development projects, and the proposed solution. Hopefully, an agreement will be reached soon so that no further economic development projects will be delayed.
~Tom Larson, NAIOP Wisconsin Lobbyist